Slick1006’s 11/3 NBA Pick

Hi -

Sorry it took me so long to start doing the NBA…But I’m here now.

Atlanta (+7) at Portland under 192.5

That’s right..I start my NBA picks off with a parlay for you.  The Hawks are one of those few Eastern Conference teams that can match up with much more dominant Western Conference squads as they are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games against the Western Conference.  They have also been money in the start of the season (3-0 ATS).  The Blazers may not have the services of  LeMarcus Aldridge as he left Sunday’s game with a knee injury.  Also, these teams are on some some major under trends.  The Blazers are 7-1 for the under overall in their last 8 games and the Hawks are have gone 11-5 for the under in their last 16.  Expect some defense tonight in a close game.  The Hawks and the under is the pick for the tonight.

Slick1006’s 10/24 Saturday NCAA Football Picks

What a gloomy day outside my window today…But nothing makes you feel better like a little cash in your pocket..Let’s get to it.

Idaho (+15.5) at Nevada

Am I missing something here?  I actually thought that this was a misprint when I saw this on my sportsbook but it isn’t folks.  Then I checked to see if Idaho had any important injuries but they don’t. So the 6-1 Vandals (7-0 ATS) are more than a 2 TD underdog against a 3-3 Nevada (2-4 ATS) team that has gotten shut out by Notre Dame earlier this year.  Now I have been seeing that the Wolf Pack is a totally ‘different’ team at home but unless that different team is Texas, they won’t be beating the very confident Vandals by more than 2 TDs if at all.

Northern Illinois (-11) at Miami (OH)

I guess it would be an understatement to say that Miami of Ohio is a bad team.  The winless RedHawks (0-7 SU, 2-5 ATS) doesn’t really anything going for them as they have just scored 13 points in their last two games.  This is a team that is terrible against the run(175 YPG) and that means that the Huskies(3-3, 4-2 ATS) will be licking their chops today as they average about 200 yards on the ground per game.  The winless will indeed stay winless today.

Oregon St (+21) at USC

With that line I thought that this was Florida vs (fill in the blank) as the extremely bloated line of the week.  This is entirely too many points for the Trojans to cover against a very good Oregon St. team that always plays them tough and that has beaten them 2 out of their last 3 meetings.  This is not you daddy’s USC offense as I am not convinced that Matt Barkley is the second coming of Matt Leinert just yet.  Say what you want about the ‘revenge’ factor, USC just doesn’t have the horses or the enough killer instinct to be able to put away Jacquizz Rodgers and a tough Beaver squad.

BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK

Boise St. (-25) at Hawaii

This game is going to get ugly very, very fast folks.  Hawaii is usually tough at home but this is a totally different Rainbow Warrior(2-4,  2-3 ATS)  team.  They will get a bunch of yard today but they won’t score many points against a Boise St.(6-0, 4-2 ATS) team that smells BCS and looking to get as many style points as possible and that means crushing Hawaii tonight.  Basically the pig with the apple in its mouth at the luau will be the home team tonight.

No time to write these up but I love ‘em

Boston College at Notre Dame over 55.5

North Texas at Troy over 58

Vanderbilt at South Carolina (-13.5)

Oklahoma State (-9.5) at Baylor

Good Luck Everybody!!

Monday Night Winners…

Denver Broncos @ San Diego Chagers (-3)-

I believe the wrong team is favored in this one as the 2-2 Chargers face the 5-0 Broncos in a battle of opposite strengths. Mike Nolan has this defense playing great football this year, and they look like a brand new team. Its easy to spot that the strength of this team is their defense, and on the flip side the strengh of the Chargers is their offense. This isnt the same Chargers team though because they are having a very hard time establishing the run. There has a been a lot of pressure on Phillip Rivers to make the big plays, and he has falltered when the defense puts pressure on him, and hes only sporting a 90 qb rating. Kyle Orton has been great this season not only managing the game, but leading the Broncos on some big scoring drives. Dont look past Kyle Orton or this young Broncos team. They are perfect ATS this season, and still get no respect by being the underdog agaist a .500 team. This Chargers team is always overvalued, and even at 1-3 ATS they are a favorite vs a 5-0 team. Also to answer your question, THIS TEAM IS FOR REAL! Defense wins games, and they have defense.
Broncos (+3)… * 1 Star Bet

New York Yankees @ LA Angels (-120)

After a rough one the other night look for the Angels to rebound against the soon to be 2009 World Series Champions. I do think they Yankees take this series, and win it all but… not tonight. Jered Weaver has been great lately, and has pitche well beyond his years. Weaver is 2-1 with a 1.47 ERA in his last 3 starts, and sports a 2.72 ERA on the year. He pitched a great game vs Boston last week, and looks t follow that up with a great start tonight. The Angels have also been a terrific home team this year, and should benefit from playing in front of the home crowd. The Yankees are 1-6 in their last 7 games on the road during the playoffs. The Angels have dominated as a favorite winning their last 5, and also have won 6 of their last 7 home games. The Angels are pissed off about that debacle from the other night, and are going to come out ready to play. This series will not go 3-0, stamp it!
Angels- *** 3 Star Bet

Slick1006’s Sunday 10/18 NFL Picks

Philadelphia (-14) at Oakland

Although I was reminded today about the ‘traveling across the coast’ rule, I am still going with the Eagles against a Raider team that has already packed it in.  Basically as long as JaMarcus Russell is the starting QB, Oakland has no chance at being competitive. The Eagles (9-3 ATS in their last 12) have been money lately and especially on the road where they are 13-5 ATS in their last 18.  The Raiders get routed again today.

UPSET of the DAY

St. Louis (+10) at Jacksonville

I know the Rams are bad but can they be that bad, I don’t think so.  The Jags made Matt Hasselback look like Joe Montana last week and that even made the usually quiet Maurice Jones-Drew cry and complain to the media.  I know that Mike Sims-Walker didn’t play last week but even if Jerry Rice had played for them last week, the Jags still would have gotten blown out.  The Rams get Marc Bulger back which means that they have a chance to score at least 2 TDs today which should be just enough to cover today.

UPSET of the Day PART 2

Buffalo (+10) at New York Jets

Well, the Jets were who we thought they were.  Miami and the Wildcat ‘O’ totally shredded the heavily praised Jet defense last Monday.  It looks like the weather will be a factor out there today so it won’t be like sunny California for Jets QB Mark Sanchez.  This looks like it is going to be a slow down in the dirt slobberknocker today and I expect the Bills to hang in there with the Jets today.  I do believe in the Monday Night hangover and that should also be a factor today as well.  The Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Jets and I expect a big game from Marshawn Lynch who should be finally back in football shape.  10 points are too many points to lay here.

Detroit at Green Bay (-13.5)

No Calvin Johnson and Matthew Stafford on the road means absolute doom for the Lions.  Aaron Rodgers will go absolutely crazy on a terrible Lions defense.   The Pack has won 15 of the last 17 meetings and the Lions are only 1-4 ATS  in their last 5 meetings against Green Bay.  Don’t stray away from the big chalk today.  The Packers will roll.

Arizona at Seattle over 47

8 out of the last 10 meetings of these two teams have gone over.  I love passing teams playing on turf and that means points, points, and more points. Matt Hasselback and Kurt Warner will definitely make their fantasy owners happy today because the footballs will be flying.

No write up on this one but I’ll give one more total

Kansas City at Washington under 37

Good Luck Everybody!!

Slick1006’s Saturday 10/17 NCAA Football Picks

All right guys, let’s see if we can win a little extra cash for our Sweeties on Sweetest Day..

Central Michigan (-6.5) at Western Michigan

The Central Michigan Chippewas are clearly the top class of the MAC this year with QB Dan LeFevour leading the way.  Usually I stay away from the MAC because it’s usually helter skelter when it comes to betting.  You never know what team is going show on what week but the Chippewas(4-1 ATS this year) and LeFevour are on a mission and Western Michigan(2-7 ATS in their last 9) just won’t have enough firepower today to keep up with the dangerously balanced Chippewa offense.

Ohio State (-13.5) at Purdue

Ok..Ok.. I’m with everybody when I say that Terrelle Pryor is highly, highly overated. And maybe, just maybe so are the Buckeyes but for right now they have been getting the job done.  The Buckeye defense has been excellent this year and it looks like it’s going to be more of the same as the Boilermakers, who make absolutely too many mistakes on offense, will see today.  Pryor will be unspectacular again but he will do just enough as Ohio State (5-1 ATS this season) and that defense takes care of business on the road at Purdue (3-3 ATS this season).

Arkansas (+24.5) at Florida

It’s always hard for me to bet against Superman (Tim Tebow) but I absolutely have no choice here as this inflated line too juicy to pass up.  Just like against Tennessee, who were 30 pt dogs, I just know that the Razorbacks are too good of a team for even the #1 team in the nation to knock them off like that.  In this series, the Gators have only beaten the Razorbacks by an average of 15.2 points per game. And in their two meetings in Gainesville, Florida has only beaten Arkansas by an average of 12.5 points per game, including a 10-point victory in their last meeting in the Swamp in 2006, as Florida won 38-28 as a 3-point favorite.  The Razorbacks QB, Ryan Mallett, isn’t too bad himself and something in my gut says the Tebow isn’t all the way right yet from the concussion he suffered a few weeks ago.  The Gator D will win them this game but they won’t cover that enormous spread against a very descent Arkansas squad.

BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK

BYU (-17) at San Diego State

It’s all about style points for the Cougars(9-3 ATS in last 12 meetings) now as they will totally beat up on a Aztecs squad that won’t have a chance against a team still trying to make it to a BCS bowl game.  I also have been told that two of the Aztec starting defensive backs are injured and that spells doom for the home team.  Believe me, this one will ugly very quickly.

No totals game this week but I do have a couple of extra games for you to pick if you’re looking to do a monster parlay or something..No write ups for these but they look pretty good today.

Kentucky at Auburn (-13.5)

Hawaii at Idaho (-8)

Texas Tech (+10.5) at Nebraska

Good luck Everybody!!

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Slick1006’s Sunday 10/11 NFL Picks

Well, the sun is shining and I’m looking to make some money today!!

Let’s do this..

Minnesota (-10.5) at St. Louis

I got burned on this Rams last week thinking that Kyle Boller would provide a spark to a wooden Rams offense.  I was wrong, Kyle Boller is still, well, Kyle Boller and that offensive line almost got him killed last week and it doesn’t get any easier this week against the Vikings.  The Packers did a good job on Monday night stopping Adrian Peterson…Don’t expect the same thing to happen this week.  AD should run all over Rams today and Brett Favre should be able to take it easy while his foot is hurting a little bit.  Kyle Boller will have to deal with ‘maniac’ Jared Allen all day today and that just doesn’t help an offense that is only averaging 6 points a game.  The Vikes with take care of business today.

Pittsburgh (-11) at Detroit

After watching the Steelers on Sunday night, I have concluded that they are not messing around anymore.  It is very cliche to say the score (38-28 vs. San Diego) didn’t describe how dominate the Steelers really were. No Willie Parker, no problem as Rashard Mendenhall ran wild on the weak Charger defense. Expect much more of the same today as the Lions rank 20th in rushing defense.  It would already be hard as hell to face the Steeler D with Matthew Stafford healthy but as it looks like Daunte Culpepper is starting today and he looked terrible last week filling in for Stafford after he got hurt last against the Bears.. I am usually one to stay away from double digit chalk on the road but this season has taught me that it’s nothing to be afraid of.  The Lions are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games at home and you know most of those had heavy chalk.  The Steelers roll.

UPSET OF THE WEEK

Cincinnati (+9.5) at Baltimore

I know the Bengals struggled against a bad Browns team last week but I still believe in this team.  Maybe I’m suffering from Hard Knocks disease or something but the Bengals should be 4-0 right now, everyone knows about the fluke play they lost on.  As I’ve been saying, this is not your Dad’s Ravens defense.  The Bengals do have the potential to put some points up on them.  I may be the only person that hasn’t jumped on the Joe Flacco bandwagon just yet but then again, thank to Mark Clayton, they should be 4-0 but my gut and the trends support me as the Bengals have won 6 of the last 9 meetings and they are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 and they have been close in every game. I don’t see the Ravens running away with this one today.

Special treat – I’ve got two totals for you today

Oakland vs. NY Giants under 38

Too make a long story short…JaMarcus Russell means UNDER…That offense is horrid and with Eli Manning hurting the Giants will be running a lot so the clock will be ticking quite a bit but then it will keep stopping with all the incomplete passes that Russell will throw.  They still won’t score though…Under is the play..

Houston vs. Arizona over 49

This total has probably gone up.. Since the Saints aren’t playing today, I have to pick an over somewhere right? The over is 8-3 in the Texans last road games and the Cardinals has an over record of 12-3 in their last home games.  This one will be one fun shootout to look at.  This one will be one to enjoy..

Good Luck Everybody!!

Slick1006’s Saturday 10/10 NCAA Football Picks

Sorry so late today folks, I had to deal with a family emergency but here is the quick picks:

Boston College +13.5

Indiana +7

Alabama -4.5

BYU -16.5

BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK

Arizona St -21 over Washington St.

Iowa/Michigan over 47.5

Good Luck Everybody

Nothing But Winners— 10/10

NCAA- Loving the Dogs!!

Auburn @ Arkansas (+2.5)

I love home dogs in general, especially when the road favortie has proved nothing to me all season. Arkansas has a great quarterback in Mallett, and he has the arm to go deep vs this secondary. Mallett has thrown 11 touchdowns vs only 2 interceptions on the year, and has been solid since his transfer out of Michigan. Arkansas also beat Auburn on the road last season, and they are much improved. I know Auburn is now ranked, but their schedule has been very favorable to say the least. This will be a tough in conference road game for them. Auburn is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 on the road, and Arkansas is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 as a home dog. Arkansas (+2.5)

UGA @ Tennnessee ( -1.5)-

Pretty confused about this game because UGA should be favored here. Tenn has looked every bit as awful as everyone thought they would be. UGA also beat this same Tennessee team 26-14 last year. Cox has been very inconsistent, but as long as he stays away from Eric Berry he should have a good game. Caleb King should also be able to find some holes on the ground. It took a B.S. penalty from UGA to upset the #4 team in the country last week, and they will be amped up for this rivalry game. Crompton is an awful football player, enough said. UGA is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 as a road dog, and tenn is 3-7 in their last ten as a favorite. UGA (+1.5)

Houston @ Mississippi St (-2.5)

I still feel like this Houston team has been disrespected, even after a rough one last week. I think they may have been looking ahead to their chance to beat an SEC team. They should be able to come back strong vs Miss. St and put up some nice numbers. Mississippi State looked awfull vs Georgia Tech last week, and they ran all over them. The quarterback has been a huge question mark for this team all year, and they have no identity behind the center. On the other side Casey Keenum is a stud, and has thrown 13 touchdowns to only 2 int’s on the year. Houston is 4-0 ATS as a dog, and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs the SEC. Miss. St. is 0-5 in their last 5 as a favorite, and 0-4 in their last 4 vs non conference foes. Houston (+2.5)

Florida @ LSU (+7.5)

This should be a fun game, and a lot closer then most people expect. LSU is a great home team, and even better at home at night! Last time the Gators traveled to Baton Rouge they lost, and they could lose this game as well. Tim “JC” Teebow is coming off of a tough hit, and a concussion and there is not telling how he will react. He really hasnt had to fight through an injury before during his tenure at Florida. I think LSU will put a lot of pressure on him, and try to hit him early. He might also come out a little tentative, and Florida might have a safe playbook for him. LSU is 11-3 ats in their last 14 as an underog, and i think they will e in this the whole game. LSU (+7.5)

GOOD LUCK AND GOOD NIGHT…check out nadabutwinners twitter!

Nothing But Winners— 10/8

Had a rough day to start the playoffs, but looking to redeem myself today with some nice action. Will also be betting on the football game tonight with an easy underdog winner.

Colorado Rockies @ Philladelphia Phillies- Im not giving up on this Rockies team, and even though they looked awful yesterday they should redeem themselves today. At first glance you would not think that the pitching match up favors the away team, but it does. Aarron Cook is 11-6 with a 4.16 ERA on the year while Hamels is 10-11 with a 4.32. The diffrenece is actually even bigger when looking at the last three starts where Cook has a 2.81 ERA to an over 7 ERA for Cole Hamels. The Rockies should be able to get the bats rolling a little bit today. They also faced Hamels in the beginning of the season, and roughed him up pretty good. My gut also tells me the Rockies wont go down without a fight after this hard fought season. This is also partially a value play though as i will be getting great money on this pick. Rockies +145

Boston Red Sox @ LA Angels- This pitching matchup does favor the Red Sox in many ways including how great Lester has been during the last month, but dont sell Lackey short. He has pitched 5 straight quality starts against these Red Sox, and has been the ace of this staff for a while. This will be his fifth year in the playoffs, and he has been up and down during that playoff career, but look for him to break out this season. The Angels come into this season on fire winning 7 of their last 8 games while the Red Sox limped in losing 6 of their last 10 games. The Angels have won 4 of 6 vs the Red Sox in LA this year, and they are out for some revenge. They will not let the Red Sox just kick them out of the playoffs. This will be a hard fought, fun to watch series with the Angels coming out on top. Angels -105


#22 Nebraska @ #18 Missouri (+3.5)- Now you may be wondering why i included rankings in my header because i never do that. Well he’s why, Why is the team who is ranked higher, in the same conference, who is playing at home a 3.5 point underdog? I was very suprised when i saw this considering how great Missouri has looked despite not having Chase Daniel. These two teams played last year in Nebraska, and Missouri still won by a score of 52-17. I know Missouri hasnt exactly had the toughest schedule, but they have beat a couple quality teams. Also as bad as Missouri’s wins are, they are better than what Nebraska has done. There “best” game is a loss to VT. Blaine Gabbert has been perfect this year with no interceptions, and looks to continue that streak. Take the home dog in this one. Missouri (+3.5)

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GOOD LUCK AND GOOD NIGHT!